New Mexico
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
25  Sammy Silva JR 19:31
34  Charlotte Arter SR 19:36
54  Samantha Silva JR 19:48
100  Calli Thackery FR 20:03
220  Heleene Tambet SO 20:25
231  Tamara Armoush JR 20:27
280  Nicole Roberts JR 20:34
350  Nicola Hood SR 20:43
547  Kirsten Follett SO 21:02
618  Chloe Anderson SR 21:07
1,026  Amber Zimmerman JR 21:35
1,361  Alice Wright FR 21:57
National Rank #6 of 340
Mountain Region Rank #2 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Nationals


National Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at Nationals 9.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 34.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.8%


Regional Champion 19.6%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sammy Silva Charlotte Arter Samantha Silva Calli Thackery Heleene Tambet Tamara Armoush Nicole Roberts Nicola Hood Kirsten Follett Chloe Anderson Amber Zimmerman
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 446 19:56 19:39 19:56 20:17 20:29 20:29 21:11 21:35
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 395 19:40 19:57 19:56 20:12 20:16 20:14 20:36 21:00
Mountain West Championships 11/01 514 19:41 19:59 20:22 20:27 20:36 20:19 20:43 20:54 21:08
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 605 19:54 19:59 20:21 20:54 20:29 20:47 20:53
NCAA Championship 11/23 390 19:18 19:23 19:55 20:27 20:28 21:13 21:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 12.9 361 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.6 4.2 5.3 6.0 6.1 6.7 6.3 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.7 5.5 5.4 4.0 3.5 2.7 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.8 49 19.6 79.0 1.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sammy Silva 100% 27.5 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.3
Charlotte Arter 100% 34.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.4 2.0
Calli Thackery 100% 93.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Heleene Tambet 100% 157.0
Tamara Armoush 100% 160.0
Nicole Roberts 100% 178.5
Nicola Hood 100% 200.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sammy Silva 1.5 31.7 33.3 20.1 6.8 3.6 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Charlotte Arter 2.2 15.9 28.7 27.6 11.6 6.4 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Calli Thackery 8.2 0.3 2.1 9.0 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.7 10.1 9.6 7.4 5.9 5.3 3.9 3.0 1.9 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
Heleene Tambet 16.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.2 4.1 5.2 5.7 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.5 5.6 5.4 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.7 2.9 2.7
Tamara Armoush 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.4 3.2 4.4 5.7 6.3 6.5 6.0 6.3 5.7 5.6 5.3 4.8 4.3 4.2 3.6 2.8
Nicole Roberts 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.4 4.7 4.7 5.1 5.4 5.2 5.6 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.5
Nicola Hood 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.6 4.0 3.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 19.6% 100.0% 19.6 19.6 1
2 79.0% 100.0% 79.0 79.0 2
3 1.3% 100.0% 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 100.0% 19.6 79.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 98.6 1.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Dartmouth 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Washington 94.2% 1.0 0.9
San Francisco 91.9% 2.0 1.8
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 75.6% 1.0 0.8
Notre Dame 74.1% 2.0 1.5
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 47.8% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
Boise State 16.2% 1.0 0.2
BYU 9.3% 2.0 0.2
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 13.0
Minimum 6.0
Maximum 19.0